Some people have been really worried about the possibility of Donald Trump losing Texas. Don’t get me wrong. That would be completely embarrassing, but I just don’t see it happening. I don’t care what the polls say. I simply don’t believe it, and here’s another reason why.
According to Sid Miller, Texas Agriculture Commissioner, the state is seeing record voter turnout for Donald Trump. And they’re not necessarily seeing this from “likely” Republican voters. They’re seeing people come out who haven’t voted in years.
“We have a record number of people registered to vote in Texas. We’re having record turnouts, the first day, the second day of voting,” Miller said. “And it’s not Bernie Sanders supporters coming out to support Hillary. It’s not Barack Obama supporters coming out to support Hillary. It’s a new surge of Trump voters, many who have never registered to vote. Many who have not voted in eight or ten elections so they’re not reported in the polls.”
“I know for a fact that the polls are off because they oversample Democrats by eight sometimes up to sixteen percent oversampling Democrats,” Miller continued. “They’re oversampling women by five to eight percent. So the Republican vote is underreported. Plus there is no way to sample this extra twenty to twenty-five percent of new voters that are Trump voters. They’re not Republican, they’re not Democrats, they’re pragmatists. They’re tired of the status quo and they want change.”
— DEPLORABLE TRUMPCAT (@Darren32895836) October 26, 2016
Oversampling aside, these pollsters often survey “likely” voters. Like Miller said, this election is drawing in a lot of new voters– people who haven’t voted in years. They’re not included in these numbers.
The race is much closer than they’d like you to believe.